DARK CAMPAIGN

The last day before the announcement! CNN: “Can ‘Dark Knight’ leap into Oscar contention?”

by Blair on Jan.21, 2009, under NEWS

Well tomorrow is the big finale. We will finally know for sure if the ‘Dark Knight’ made the enormous leap from summer comic book movie sequel to cinema history. Here’s one last great article from CNN on the subject. Tomorrow we’ll know for sure…

Can ‘Dark Knight’ leap into Oscar contention?

By Todd Leopold

(CNN) — When it comes to the Academy Awards, Hollywood has some biases.

The late Heath Ledger won a Golden Globe for his performance as The Joker in "The Dark Knight."

Summer blockbusters get short shrift. Comedies aren’t taken seriously. And animated features? They almost never get drawn.

Which, on the surface, doesn’t bode well for three of the biggest movie stories of the year: “The Dark Knight,” Robert Downey Jr.’s performance in “Tropic Thunder,” and Pixar’s latest marvel, “WALL-E.”

Each earned critical plaudits and box office success. And each faces an uphill struggle nabbing major-category Oscar nominations when the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences announces its shortlists Thursday morning.

Awards expert Tom O’Neil, who follows the Oscars for the Los Angeles Times’ TheEnvelope.com, says the best-picture front-runners are “Frost/Nixon,” “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button,” “Milk” and Golden Globe best drama winner “Slumdog Millionaire.” Barring a completely out-of-the-box surprise, that leaves “Dark Knight,” “The Reader,” Clint Eastwood’s fast-gaining “Gran Torino” and possibly “Doubt” or “Revolutionary Road” to battle for the final slot. Video Watch who took home the Globes »

O’Neil believes “Dark Knight,” the year’s top box office draw, has “an excellent shot” of making the best-picture list.

“We know that because Oscar voters belong to guilds that have their own awards, ‘Dark Knight’ has a strong chance,” he says, noting that the Directors Guild, Producers Guild and Writers Guild have all nominated “Dark Knight” for their top awards. Read what EW’s Dave Karger has to say about that

“WALL-E,” however, is almost certainly out of the best-picture race, he says. Animated features, no matter how successful, have fared poorly in general categories. Indeed, only one animated feature — 1991’s “Beauty and the Beast” — has ever been nominated for best picture.

With the addition of the best animated feature category in 2001, it’s doubtful that even the best Pixar has to offer will cross over to best picture, particularly since the Academy ignored classics including “Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs,” “Fantasia” and “Toy Story.”

“Oscar voters like reality,” says O’Neil.

Either way, the Oscars could probably use the ratings help a box office success can bring to its broadcast. In recent years, the Academy has nominated several independent or low-budget films for top awards, many of which didn’t crack the $100 million mark at the box office. Oscar ratings have tumbled; last year’s numbers for “the Super Bowl for women” — as the Oscar broadcast is known by advertisers — were the lowest on record and a far cry from 1998, when more than 55 million people watched all-time box office king “Titanic” take home the top prize.

That’s not to downgrade the expected front-runners, especially since the Oscars’ intention is to honor some of the year’s best films and performances (though critics have carped they’ve often not done so). Still, it might behoove the Academy to pay attention to box office as well as prestige, particularly when several films have garnered both. Almost three-quarters of the respondents to an unscientific USA Today Internet survey have said they’d be more likely to watch the Oscar ceremony February 22 if “The Dark Knight” is nominated for best picture.

“If a film is very successful, it shouldn’t be automatically relegated to the minor leagues,” producer Peter Guber told The Associated Press. (Ironically, Guber co-produced the 1989 “Batman,” which, despite big box office and Jack Nicholson’s Joker, was nominated for just one Oscar — for Anton Furst’s set design. It won.)

Historically, summer blockbusters haven’t always been ignored. “Jaws,” considered the first of the modern summer blockbusters, was nominated for best picture, as were “Star Wars,” “Raiders of the Lost Ark” and “The Fugitive.”

And there’s something to be said for giving visibility to smaller films, says John Martin, president and CEO of Alamo Drafthouse Cinemas, an upscale theater chain based in Austin, Texas.

“As an exhibitor, we would love to see those [smaller niche] films make it as well,” he says. “They would have legs [box office longevity] if nominated.”

Martin, a former film executive, was pleased that “Slumdog” and “The Wrestler” — two films his chain got behind — fared so well at the Golden Globes, and he has high hopes for both films at the Oscars. “The Wrestler’s” lead, Mickey Rourke, earned a Globe for best dramatic actor, and is now a leading candidate to win best actor at the Oscars.

O’Neil sees Rourke as the front-runner in the category, which should be “a real slugfest,” he says. “Milk’s” Sean Penn was considered the early leader, with his main competition “Frost/Nixon’s” Frank Langella. But now Rourke is in the picture, which could mean trouble for Brad Pitt (”Benjamin Button”), Leonardo DiCaprio (”Revolutionary Road”), Clint Eastwood (”Gran Torino”) and Richard Jenkins (”The Visitor”). Video Watch Eastwood talk about “Gran Torino” »

And Kate Winslet, a double winner at the Globes, could fall between the cracks in the Oscar balloting, O’Neil adds. Other awards let the performers or studios designate whether roles are leading or supporting; the Academy decides on its own, which means that Winslet’s performances in “Revolutionary Road” and “The Reader” could split her support, whether for lead or supporting actress.

Heath Ledger should have no such problems. The late actor, whose performance as The Joker in “The Dark Knight” has been considered Oscar material since the film came out in July, is believed to be a shoo-in for best supporting actor. Ironically, he could be competing against Downey — 2008’s big comeback story — for a performance as an actor who takes his Method a little too seriously in “Tropic Thunder.”

Though comedies haven’t received much nomination recognition, comedic performers have received some recognition, including “Blazing Saddles’ ” Madeline Kahn, “Heaven Can Wait’s” Dyan Cannon and “A Fish Called Wanda’s” Kevin Kline, which can’t hurt Downey. There’s also his personal story, says O’Neil: After drug abuse nearly killed his career, he starred in “Thunder” and “Iron Man,” two of 2008’s biggest hits.

“He’s a hopeful spin on the Ledger story,” O’Neil says.

Martin believes Ledger is a lock. “I wouldn’t be surprised if he wins [outright],” he says.But “Dark Knight”? Hollywood will have to get past its disdain for “comic-book movies.” Which, O’Neil says, it should.

“This isn’t just a superhero movie,” says O’Neil. “It’s come to the rescue of Hollywood during a dark time.”

11 comments for this entry:
  1. R W O

    Definitely !!!
    Finally, we only need 2 wait one more day to know how the history will be.

  2. Jen

    If the Academy doesn’t nominate this film, then they’re all idiots! “The Dark Knight” and Heath deserve to be in the running this year. Go Dark Knight!! =)

  3. Rob

    If Heath hadn’t died this film wouldn’t have half the hype, and you all know that. As a film it stands against a lot of tough competition. Creating a petition of sorts to have it win is going against the whole concept of the awards ceremony anyhow.
    Either way, good luck.

  4. Will

    Well, The Dark Knight got snubbed of the Best Picture and Best Director. Ok, don’t give it the Best Picture, but no Best Director? that’s a shame, Chris Nolan did a fantastic job, better than any other director out there, instead, they put The Reader, which did not receive very positive criticism. The movie itself got 8 nominations, but not the important ones, the ones I thought it very well deserved. I’m not watching these awards. What a same…

  5. Will

    Oscars, say goodbye to ratings…

  6. Pierre-Aldo

    If they give the Best supporting actor oscar at the beginning of the show I believe ratings will decrease 50% after that. Good job Academy, always conservative, always stupid.

  7. DeetheGee

    We have failed :(

  8. jorge

    i guess the academy is hell-bent on not having any one watch their ceremony

  9. DeetheGee

    Another thing that grinds my gears is that The Wrestler is only nominated for one thing and thats for Mickey Rourke. My 2 favorite films of the year got snubbed and it makes me sad. Oh well at least Slumdog is nominated. Doesn’t mean I’m gonna watch the show cuz I know thats gonna win.

  10. Phil

    Don’t have to put together that Oscar Party anymore, I guess.

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